Showing posts sorted by relevance for query blackout. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query blackout. Sort by date Show all posts

Sunday, March 12, 2023

I Like Big Batteries - Why


Today, we use batteries in everything from our electronics (phones, watches, tablets, earbuds), to power tools, toothbrushes, and electric cars. Battery tech is more important to our daily life than it's ever been. And now that the tech is maturing, it is being bundled together into bigger batteries than ever before for new purposes.

We'll look at how batteries, specifically big batteries, are being used and (more importantly) how this is laying the foundation for the "Electrify Everything" future. 


Why Big Batteries...

Two primary markets use big batteries: energy storage (residential and industrial) and long-range electric vehicles (personal transportation and transportation of goods).

Battery-based energy storage is vital to our renewable energy future from moving people and goods to smoothing out the intermittent nature of renewable energy. For transportation, to replace all the towing, hauling, and road trips that internal combustion vehicles are used for today, we're going to need EVs with big batteries. For renewable energy to power the lights, air conditioners, and heat pumps in a major city, we're going to need big storage batteries.


Grid Stabilization & Renewable Energy Storage

The sun doesn't always shine and the wind doesn't always blow, but this does not mean renewables are unviable. A big battery can fill in the gaps and absorb the excesses. This applies to whether it's industrial-scale wind or home solar. 


Power inverters outside the battery building at Moss Landing Energy Storage Facility in Moss Landing, California. Credit: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Industrial Energy Storage

One example of a massive industrial-scale battery is the Moss Landing Energy Storage Facility in California. It has 4,500 lithium-ion battery racks stacked for a total of 1.6 GWh of capacity. This battery bank can fill in when there are short-term outages, it can maintain the grid frequency, and it can make a renewable portfolio a viable part of the grid production. Fully charged, this facility could power over half a million homes for 24 hours.

Home Energy Storage

Residential batteries are great. They allow you to time-shift your grid usage to the cheaper hours of the day and provide you with blackout protection. We've had home batteries for about 2 years. These batteries kept the power on when snow and ice took our grid down on Valentine's Day 2020, they make our solar production more valuable, and they charge up (just in case) when wildfires plague the state.

In addition to this blackout protection, the time-shifting ability makes our solar worth about 75% more, since we can use solar energy when prices are the highest, instead of just when the sun is shining. 

Measured in mere kilowatt-hours, residential batteries have far less capacity than an industrial energy storage system (measured in gigawatt-hours), but there are far more residential installations and these little residential packs can be ganged together into a virtual power plant, working together to significantly offload the grid during peak demand periods. 

Big Batteries Can Move People and Goods

Batteries are the powerhouse for the future of transportation from scooters to semi-trucks. Personal transportation, hauling, towing, deliveries, and more will be battery-powered.

Personal Transportation

Recently we published an entry about the need for some people to have long-range electric vehicles. A big battery in your electric ride provides the range needed, even in adverse weather conditions. It provides future-proofing against degradation or the curveballs that life can throw at you (detours, evacuations, new commute due to a new home and/or job...). With a big battery pack, if you can't plug in every night or if you forget to plug in, you're not stranded. 

A personal vehicle with a big battery provides versatility. 

Electric trucks with big batteries are available now and more are coming soon. These vehicles can provide vehicle-to-load (V2L) services, allowing you to plug electrical tools directly into the vehicle. Power your saws and drills right from the truck bed. Have a job site that doesn't have electrical power yet, no need to haul a separate generator, just plug in and get the job done.

With the right equipment, these large battery vehicles can even power your house during a blackout. Vehicle-to-home (V2H) blackout protection is something that only vehicles with big batteries can do.  

Electric Semi-Trucks

On-highway and medium-duty trucks from Freightliner are shipping now. These freight trucks currently have 150kWh to 300kWh of battery capacity depending on the intended use. These are not small batteries.

Tesla's all-electric class 8 commercial semi-truck completed its first 500-mile trip with a full load in November of 2022. The first customer deliveries started in December of the same year. Musk has said that Tesla aims to produce 50,000 semi-trucks in 2024. As I write this, the full specs have not yet been released. However, the pack is estimated to be more than 900kWh. We'll be seeing megawatt-hour packs soon.

Electrifying semi-trucks is very important. Today, semis are primarily Diesel-powered. In the US, they are only about 1% of vehicles on the roads, but they have a very outsized pollution impact; they generate about 20% of vehicle emissions and about 36% of particulate emissions. This directly has an impact on health and air quality.



One additional advantage of electric semis is regenerative braking. Regen braking is nothing new for EVs, but semis take this to a whole new level. Coming down an incline, hauling a heavy load, a Diesel semi will have to use engine braking or jake brakes and brake pads. This creates noise and particulates from the brake pads. An electric semi, on the other hand, will be able to use regenerative braking coming down that same incline. This means at the bottom of the incline, the e-semi will have more charge than it had at the top of the hill and the brake pads will last significantly longer.  

This concludes "Part 1 / Why" of our big battery series. Check out part 2 (Demand) next week.


Tuesday, December 16, 2025

Tesla Residential Heat Pump, The Next Addition to the Tesla Home Energy Ecosystem

Introduction

A heat pump is an innovative device that heats and cools your home. It does this super efficiently by transferring heat from one location to another rather than generating heat directly. This means they have efficiencies ranging from 300% to 500% compared to traditional systems. This makes heat pumps vital for reducing energy consumption, lowering utility bills, and minimizing fossil fuel dependence. 

Although Tesla does not currently produce a residential heat pump, Elon Musk has voiced a strong interest in creating one. Heat pumps were even highlighted in the Tesla 2023 Master Plan Part 3 to electrify homes and replace gas furnaces. Tesla does have heat pumps in their vehicles and in the new Megapack 3 (production slated to begin in late 2026 at Tesla's new Houston Megafactory). Tesla can draw on this experience to create a residential heat pump. 

Smart Features of a Tesla Home Heat Pump (MegaPump)

This Tesla home heat pump could include features that no other HVAC system has currently. First, it would integrate seamlessly with Tesla's home ecosystem, including Wall Connectors for EV charging, Powerwall batteries, and solar panels; enabling smart features like solar-powered cooling and optimized load management to further reduce energy costs.

On hot sunny days, the "cool-on-solar" feature would direct surplus solar energy to the heat pump to preemptively cool the home. Smart load management (e.g., pausing or slowing EV charging during heat pump operation) would keep your grid load light. 

Other potential capabilities:

  • Rate Awareness: Many utilities charge different rates at different times of day. Tesla already uses this information to charge your car when it's cheapest (and the grid load is lightest) and to manage Powerwall charging and discharging. Similarly, this information could be used to optimize heat pump operation to keep you at a comfortable temp without breaking the bank.
  • Unified App Control and Optimization: The heat pump would, of course, be controlled via the Tesla app. This would allow remote scheduling, zoning (heating/cooling specific rooms), and data-driven optimization predictions. For instance, it would use weather data, home occupancy sensors, or user habits to pre-heat or cool the house, minimizing energy use while maintaining comfort and avoiding excessive energy needs during peak demand hours.
  • Air Quality Integration: Drawing from Tesla's vehicle tech, Bioweapon Defense Mode would be a feature of the heat pump. The air handler system would include HEPA filtration and UV sanitization to purify indoor air, reducing allergens and pathogens. It could even monitor CO2 levels, providing alerts and automatically adjusting ventilation as needed.
  • High-Efficiency Components: Today's air source heat pumps have COP (Coefficient of Performance) ratings of 3 to 5. Using advanced tech from Tesla vehicles like the Octovalve for precise refrigerant flow, variable-speed compressors (optimizing load matching), waste heat recovery, and highly efficient inverters/rectifiers combined with advanced refrigerants (e.g., R290), and novel cycles, Tesla could push efficiencies to a COP rating of 6 or 7 in mild climates.
  • Virtual Power Plant (VPP) Participation: Tesla already has active VPP programs in California and Texas. The heat pump could join in on this fun. When VPP events are scheduled, the heat pump could pre-cool (or heat) the home. This would minimize energy usage during the VPP event, allowing more of the solar and battery energy to flow into the grid, helping stabilize the grid, and maximizing the homeowner's VPP earnings.
  • Backup Power Prioritization: With Powerwalls, the heat pump could run on battery power during outages, prioritizing essential zones. 
  • Storm Watch: When a Red Flag Event is called for your home's area, Tesla Powerwalls go into an operational mode called Storm Watch. This is where the batteries charge to 100% in preparation for a potential blackout. A Tesla Heat Pump could have its own Storm Watch and also respond to these events by pre-cooling (or heating) your home, assuming a blackout is imminent. This pre-conditioning would take the home to a comfortable temp with a few degrees to spare. That way, if the grid does go out, the home stays comfortable longer, and if Powerwalls (or other batteries) are powering your heat pump, the energy demand from the heat pump will be light.
  • Hot Water: A heat pump that combines air conditioning and water heating could utilize the waste heat for water heating, creating a highly efficient combined HVAC-hot water solution.
  • Bidirectional Flow: With Vehicle-to-Home (V2H) tech (like Cybertruck's Powershare), the EV battery could supply power to the heat pump during outages, high demand, or peak rate hours when the Powerwalls are depleted.
  • Data Analytics and Upgrades: The system would receive over-the-air (OTA) software updates for performance improvements, similar to Tesla vehicles and Powerwalls. The app would show insights on energy usage and savings, carbon footprint reduction, and maintenance alerts for filter changes and refrigerant recharges.

These features would position the heat pump as the "Tesla of HVAC," emphasizing efficiency, integration, and user experience.

Timeline for Bringing to Market

A 2023 Bloomberg article quoted Musk teasing the idea, and job postings from 2022 suggested Tesla was exploring smart HVAC systems. However, as of late 2025, there has been no announced product.

Given Tesla's track record, this could hit the market in 1-3 years if prioritized. Potential timeline: Prototypes or announcements by late 2026, full rollout by 2028. However, Musk's focus is on Robotaxi, robotics, and energy storage scaling.

How Solar, Batteries, Heat Pumps, and EV Charging Could Work Together in a House Ecosystem

Tesla's energy ecosystem (solar panels, Powerwalls, and EV chargers) already integrates via the Tesla app for real-time monitoring and optimization; adding a heat pump would create a seamless "smart home energy hub."

This setup is already partially realized in Tesla homes with solar + Powerwall + EV, and studies show that combining PV, batteries, heat pumps, and EVs mitigates grid strain. A heat pump would slot in as an efficient load, using 1 unit of electricity to move 3-4 units of heat.

How This Could Reduce Home Energy Costs

Integrating these technologies can reduce costs through efficiency gains and grid avoidance. UK reports estimate savings of £1,800 ($2,300 USD) annually with solar, heat pumps, and EV chargers. Here's the breakdown:

Component Cost-Reduction Mechanism Estimated Savings Impact
Solar Panels Generate free electricity (e.g., 5-10 kWh/day per panel), offsetting grid purchases. Excess can be stored or sold back via net metering. 20-50% off electricity bills; ROI in 5-8 years with incentives.
Batteries (e.g., Powerwall) Store solar for night/peak use, avoiding high time-of-use rates (e.g., $0.44/kWh peak vs. $0.09 off-peak). Enable energy arbitrage. Adds 10-30% savings; reduces demand charges by smoothing loads.
Heat Pump 300-500% efficient vs. 100% for gas/electric furnaces, using solar/battery power. "Cool-on-solar" preempts grid use. Cuts heating/cooling costs by 40-60%; e.g., $500-1,000/year in cold climates.
EV Charging Charge for free on solar/battery, avoiding $0.20-0.40/kWh grid rates. Smart scheduling shifts to low-cost times. Saves $1,000-2,000/year vs. gas; V2H further offsets home energy.
Overall Integration Optimized to minimize grid draw (e.g., run all on solar surplus). Participate in VPP for rebates.  Carbon emissions drop 50 to 90%.

Savings are amplified in sunny regions and/or areas with high energy prices. Long-term, it hedges against rising utility rates and fossil fuel volatility.

If you've read this far, thank you. I hope we really do see this product from Tesla someday. And if we do, what do you think they should call it? Considering Tesla's other products, my vote is for MegaPump! What's your name suggestion? ThermaPump, Heatron... 

Sunday, July 19, 2026

Home Battery Subscription: Affordable Home Energy Storage and Backup Options

Have you ever wanted a home battery that could power your critical loads or even your entire home, but you didn't want to pay the thousands of dollars upfront to make that happen? If that's you, there's a new option to "subscribe" to a home battery.

Palmetto Solar has launched a residential battery lease plan. You can call it Battery-as-a-Service. This program brings a reliable battery to your garage for as low as $98 per month with no large upfront investment required. The program is now available across 25 states, including key markets such as Arizona, California, Texas, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Oregon. It gives homeowners a practical way to modernize their home energy setup without the heavy capital outlay.

Reliable Backup and Everyday Savings

The primary benefit is peace of mind during outages. A home battery provides automatic whole-home resilience, keeping your lights on, appliances running, and family comfortable when the utility grid goes down.

Beyond backup, the battery supports basic energy arbitrage. You charge it from the grid during lower-cost off-peak hours and discharge it to meet your needs during expensive peak times. Even without solar panels, this approach can produce roughly $600 to $1,000 in annual savings based on seasonal rate changes. These savings help offset much of the subscription cost, making robust blackout protection far more affordable.

Amplifying Value with VPP Programs

Enrolling your battery in a utility Virtual Power Plant (VPP) program, where available, can further reduce your net costs. During high-demand periods, utilities pay you for discharging energy back to the grid. This provides additional earnings for you while briefly supporting broader grid stability.

Maximum Benefits: Pairing with Solar

The strongest financial returns come from combining the battery subscription with rooftop solar and smart time-shifting. This is especially advantageous in markets with Net Energy Metering (NEM) policies, such as California's NEM 3.0, where standard daytime exports offer limited compensation.

By storing daytime solar energy and using or exporting it during high-value periods (for example, the premium evening peak hours between 6 PM and 8 PM in August and September), homeowners can generate thousands of dollars in annual credits and savings. This optimized setup often delivers net positive returns that exceed the subscription cost.

Strategy and Savings Breakdown

Operating Strategy System Requirements Estimated Annual Savings / Revenue Net Benefit to Homeowner
Base Arbitrage Grid connection only $600 to $1,000 Subsidized blackout protection plus bill savings
VPP Integration Grid connection, VPP enrollment Variable based on events Lower net lease cost
Optimized Solar Export Solar array, VPP, time-shifting Thousands of dollars in credits Net annual profit

We face the real challenges of legacy energy infrastructure while believing firmly in superior decentralized solutions. For homeowners, a Palmetto battery subscription delivers immediate resilience, meaningful bill savings, and strong long-term value. Through smart software, home batteries, and supportive policies, families can take greater control of their energy needs and build a more reliable future.

Monday, September 8, 2025

Tesla Reaches 1 Million Powerwalls: Revolutionizing Home Energy Storage

Tesla's Milestone: Manufacturing the 1 Millionth Powerwall

UPDATE: The 1-millionth Powerwall was installed on 9/9/2025, sometime before Noon Eastern/9AM Pacific time. 

Tesla has achieved a massive milestone in sustainable energy by manufacturing its 1 millionth Powerwall. The Powerwall is a home battery system designed to store solar energy, provide backup power, and integrate with the grid. This achievement, announced in early September 2025, underscores Tesla's rapid growth in the energy storage sector. The 1 millionth unit is set to be installed soon, and all Tesla Powerwall owners can track the progress in the Tesla app with a new feature called "Road to 1 Million". As I write this, the app reports that 998,814 Powerwalls have been installed. With about 600 Powerwalls installed per day, lucky number 1,000,000 will be powered on soon and soaking up sunshine. 

If you don't have a Powerwall and want to see the Road to 1 Million, I've included screenshots below.

It will join a global fleet that spans over 30 countries and contributes to a cleaner, more resilient energy future. Since the Powerwall's debut in 2015, production has accelerated dramatically, with the company reaching 500,000 units in its first eight years and now capable of producing over 700,000 annually. This expansion reflects increasing demand for reliable home energy solutions amid rising concerns about grid instability, climate change, and energy costs.

Key Specifications and Cumulative Impact

The Powerwall, particularly in its latest Powerwall 3 iterations, offers robust specifications that make it a cornerstone of residential energy storage. Each unit has an energy capacity of 13.5 kWh and delivers up to 11.5 kW of continuous power output. Scaling to 1 million units reveals the immense collective potential.

The total energy storage capacity of these 1 million Powerwalls is 13.5 GWh, enough to power millions of homes during peak demand or outages. The combined power output capacity stands at approximately 6.7 GW, sufficient to supply electricity to an entire country like New Zealand for a day. These batteries have already demonstrated their value by providing blackout protection during over 21 million power outages worldwide. Assuming an average outage duration of 8 hours, based on typical US grid disruptions, this equates to roughly 168 million hours of blackout protection provided to date.

Each Powerwall contains around 824 lithium-ion cells, similar to those used in Tesla's electric vehicles. Across 1 million units, this totals approximately 824 million cells, highlighting the scale of manufacturing and the integration of Tesla's battery technology ecosystem.

To illustrate the aggregate impact, consider the following table:

Metric   per Powerwall   Total for 1 Million Units
Energy Capacity 13.5 kWh 13.5 GWh
Power Output (Average) 6.7 kW 6.7 GW
Lithium-Ion Cells ~824 ~824 million
Equivalent Megapacks -- ~3,461 (based on 3.9 MWh each)

This table underscores how 1 million Powerwalls rival large-scale systems, with the fleet equivalent to about 3,461 Tesla Megapacks.

Role in Virtual Power Plants and Grid Stability

Powerwalls play a pivotal role in Virtual Power Plants (VPPs), networks of distributed batteries that act as a unified power source to stabilize the grid. In programs like Tesla's VPP with PG&E in California or in Puerto Rico, where over 100,000 Powerwalls are enrolled, these units discharge stored energy during high-demand periods or emergencies. For instance, in Puerto Rico's VPP, involving more than 63,000 Powerwalls, the system has prevented outages and balanced supply during storms, contributing up to 150 MW of support. This enhances grid stability by reducing reliance on fossil fuel peaker plants, lowering emissions, and preventing blackouts. In 2024 alone, Tesla's VPP events helped avoid grid strain, saving utilities millions in infrastructure costs and providing participants with incentives, such as $2 per kWh discharged in some programs.

Timeshifting Grid Usage for Efficiency and Savings

Powerwalls enable energy timeshifting, where users charge batteries with solar or during off-peak hours when electricity rates are cheaper and discharge during peak times to avoid higher costs. This arbitrage can yield significant savings, with users in regions like California reporting annual reductions of $500 to $1,000 on utility bills. Pairing Powerwalls with solar panels to store excess daytime generation for evening use, effectively cutting peak-hour consumption to zero. This not only lowers individual expenses but also eases grid load, promoting overall efficiency and reducing the need for costly upgrades.

Benefits of Distributed Storage

Distributing storage across millions of homes offers advantages over centralized systems, including enhanced resilience against failures, as no single point of vulnerability exists. It minimizes transmission losses, which can reach 5% to 10% in centralized setups, and allows for quicker deployment without large land requirements. Distributed systems like Powerwalls empower consumers with energy independence, foster community-level stability during disasters, and integrate seamlessly with renewables, accelerating the transition to a low-carbon grid.

In conclusion, Tesla's production of the 1 millionth Powerwall marks a turning point in democratizing energy storage. With vast cumulative capacity, grid-supporting features, and user benefits, these units are transforming how we generate, store, and consume power. As adoption grows, they promise a more sustainable and reliable energy landscape for generations to come.





If you'd like a Powerwall or two, you can use my referral code: ts.la/patrick7819

Sunday, February 13, 2022

2021 On Peak - A Year w/ Tesla Powerwalls


We just completed our first year with Tesla Powerwalls installed on our home. I thought this would be a good opportunity to review the year and see how they performed and how they impacted our energy use and electricity bill.

Some highlights from the year: Powerwall kept the lights on when the grid when out in February, in the summer we were under a heat dome and our AC ran for 5-days straight, we put our Powerwalls in our utility's SmartBattery VPP, our Powerwalls cycled about 94 times during the year (timeshifting our energy use), we saved far more on our electricity bill than with solar alone, we even had a negative bill one month. 

Peak Hours - Time-of-Use (ToU) 

With our electric utility, ToU is optional. If you sign up for it, then during peak you pay 5.3¢ more per kWh than the standard rate and during off-peak you pay 11¢ less per kWh. If you can use more off-peak than peak, this trade-off is a net win.

Below is a nice visual explanation of ToU. This is not from our utility but it's a good illustration of the concept. 

Our solar panels generate energy during mid-peak and on-peak times (reducing our peak load) and our EVs charge at off-peak times. This alone makes ToU worth it. Additionally, the Powerwalls allow us to load-shift by discharging during peak hours further reducing our peak load. Collectively, this should mean that we save money with ToU. How much? We shall see below. 


Solar Production and Energy use

We have 12 kW of solar panels on our roof. We covered every inch that we could. Sadly, we are not at net-zero. The panels only provide about 60% of the energy that we need on an annual basis. So we are definitely still dependent on our grid connection (especially during the winter months). Here's a graph of our 2021 energy production and use: 


Powerwall Usage 

During the year, we ran about 3.8 MWhs through our Powerwalls. This is about 94 full cycles of the batteries. If you look closely at the chart above, you can see a flat spot in late May. This is when the Powerwalls were in "Stormwatch" mode for due to fire danger in our area. Whenever a potential disaster is in your region, the Powerwalls charge up to 100% and go into standby mode in case you need the energy to keep the lights on.

Ironically, as I write this in January of 2022, the system is again in Stormwatch mode for high winds in the area. Stormwatch mode was used off and on during December due to snow and ice storms. It was reassuring to know that if we were hit by a regional blackout, our home would be spared; our frig and furnace would continue to operate.

In 2021, we did experience one blackout and the Powerwalls came through for us. On Valentine's Day, we had a 3-hour outage in our neighborhood. Everyone's lights were out except for ours. The Powerwalls kept our light on and our internet connection even continued to work. When the event ended, we still had an 80% charge. The dryer was running when the outage started and since the cycle was nearly done, we decided to let it complete; otherwise, we'd have had even more charge remaining.

2021 Grid Energy Usage

Ok, so let's finally get to the point of this article: how much grid peak-energy usage did we have in 2021? 

You can see in the chart above that the combination of solar, Powerwalls, and off-peak EV charging has moved the bulk of our billed usage to the preferred off-peak rate. For eight months (Mar - Oct), we had zero net usage at peak hours. I was surprised to see this since our air conditioner ran 24 hours a day for 5-days during the record-breaking heatwave

According to my calculations, if we were on the basic rate plan (paying the same amount for every kWh), we would have paid over one thousand dollars more in electricity bills last year. A couple more calculations show that with ToU, on average, we're paying less than half the typical rate per kWh.

So while we do still use the grid (and pay connection fees, taxes...), Powerwalls help us use it far more efficiently. The bulk of our grid usage (76% actually) is during off-peak times. This is when the grid has surplus capacity and when rates are cheaper. This means that we're helping to better utilize the existing infrastructure and saving money.

Monday, February 15, 2021

Powerwalls During A Power Outage (Valentine's Day Blackout)

Downed trees in Oregon
Photo Credit: Wade Radcliffe

Our Powerwalls were installed on December 31st, 2020. Just six weeks later, we've had our first power outage. This was our chance to see how well they perform. 

There's an ice storm in the area. Freezing rain has glazed over the bare winter branches in our yard. Storm Watch is enabled and the Powerwalls are charged to 100%. Over 250,000 homes in the state have been hit with power outages. Some have been without power for 48 hours as I write this.

On the evening of Valentine's Day, our neighborhood joined many others in the darkness. The streetlights went out. Looking up and down the block, the houses were dark, with the exception of ours. 

The power had been out for about 5 minutes before we even noticed. We didn't notice because, in our house, things had continued normally. The Powerwalls had taken over and they were running everything. The lights were still on, TV was on, the internet was even still working, and the washing machine was running.

We had no idea how long the power would be out. The sun had set for the day; we were not going to have any solar support. With grid out and no solar, it was all up to the Powerwalls. 

The first thing I did was run around the house turning off and unplugging nonessentials. As I mentioned above, the washing machine was running. It was in the final spin cycle, so we opted to let it finish the run. This was one nice benefit to having Powerwalls. If we didn't have them, the washing machine would have been stopped mid-cycle. This could have left us with soaking wet soapy clothes. Once the washing machine finished, our consumption rate dropped.

I collected data periodically for the charge level of the Powerwalls during the outage. You can see it in the graph below:

After 2 hours and 35 minutes, our power was restored. We were lucky that our outage was just a short one. A few minutes after the power was restored, the Powerwalls handed the load of our home back to the grid. Then as if to test the newly restored grid, the Powerwall started to recharge. The Powerwalls were recharging at a rate of 10 kW, with the other loads in our house, we peaked at a 16kW grid load. After ~20 minutes the Powerwalls were recharged and our grid load dropped to a normal rate. 

How Long Will The Powerwalls Keep Lights On?

Now that the outage is over, it's time to see how long the Powerwalls would have lasted. Luckily, our outage was only a few hours and the Powerwalls were never below 80%, so to determine how long they'd last in total, we'll have to do some extrapolation. To do this, we'll use a few methods. We'll add a trendline to the above graph and see where it lands. We'll look at our consumption data (percentage-wise and kWh-wise) and do the math based on the Powerwall capacity. 

Method One: Lineraly 

This one is a simple analysis. We used 19% of our charge in 2 hours 35 minutes. Taking this linearly, the total charge would have lasted about 5 times that duration or 13 Hours 35 Minutes. 

This, however, includes the time that the washing machine was running and so is not a very accurate estimate.

Method 1 Result: 13 Hours 35 Minutes 

Method Two: Trendline

For this trendline, I selected a 3-period trailing moving average. This allowed the washing machine period to be ignored and projected forward based on the latter portion of the sample. 

This trendline predicts that we'd have drained the Powerwalls by 11AM the next morning. This is just ~18 hours. It's longer than Method 1, but not as long as my pre-purchase calculation which led to our decision to buy three Powerwalls. The goal was 24 hours of backup.

Method 2 Result: 18 Hours

Method Three: Consumption

The other methods were tops-down. This one is bottom-up. It usually a good idea to try to look at things from a few angles to see the bigger picture. For this one, we need to know how much capacity we have. We have 3 Powerwalls. Each Powerwall has 13.5 kWh of usable energy, so that's 40.5 kWh. 

Looking at our usage data from the Tesla app during the outage, it says that we used 3.375 kWh during the outage. That's an average rate of 1.3kW. At that rate, 40.5 kWh would last 31 hours. 

Method 3 Result: 31 Hours 

Conclusion

I was very happy that we had Powerwalls when a blackout hit our neighborhood. It allowed us to keep the lights (and heat) on during the outage. Our outage was less than 3 hours long and the Powerwalls covered it completely with more than 80% charge remaining when the grid came back online. 

We used 3 methods to estimate the total duration the Powerwalls would have powered our home. The most pessimistic estimate was 13 hours 35 minutes. The most optimistic estimate was 31 hours. To determine which one is more accurate, we'll need a larger sample set. The truth is likely in the middle and if we needed to stretch things further, we could have reduced our home load to just the bare essentials, until the sun comes out and gives us a little solar power support.

Disclosure: I am long Tesla



Saturday, May 1, 2021

Everything You Want To Know About Tesla Powerwalls



We've installed Tesla Powerwalls on our home! Now that we've had them for several months, in this post, we'll explore all the cool things you can do with Powerwalls. Forgive the clickbait headline, but this will be a long post and it will cover a lot! Bookmark it for later reference if you'd like. I should also specify that this is my understanding of how things work. I'm not an electrician, all of this data should be double-checked with your installer.

Powerwalls are something that we first considered in 2018, ordered in late 2019, and had installed in late 2020. 

What Are Powerwalls? 

Let's start with the basics. Powerwalls are rechargeable batteries made by Tesla for residential home use. They can be charged by solar (if you have it) or by the grid. They can be used to provide power during a blackout and/or to time-shift your grid energy use.

We're primarily using them to time-shift our energy usage. I find this fascinating, sunlight that hits our roof at noon now powers our lights at 6PM. We've had solar since 2007, the panels allowed us to be solar-powered when the sun was shining (but only when the sun was shining). Now, however, with Powerwalls, we control when we're solar-powered. Put simply, we're able to store sunlight in a box 😁 

*The engineering part of my brain hates over-simplifications like that. The sunlight is not literally stored. The PV generates electricity and the electricity causes an electrochemical reaction within the battery known as recharging and we can use software to manage battery discharge. However, I have to admit that "Sunlight in a Box" is a simpler (and much more fun) message.

With solar panels, we were solar-powered when the sun was shining.
Now, with Powerwalls, we're solar-powered whenever we want.


Below we'll cover our installation, cost and tax incentives, time-of-use considerations, app improvement suggestions, home automation options, and answer many many more questions. 

Is There an App? 

Yes, Tesla has an app that you can use to check the status of your Powerwalls and configure them. This is the same app that you use for Tesla's cars. So if you already have a Tesla vehicle, you'll get a new page in your existing app. 

How It Works

I'm going to cover the concepts and I'm not going to go into specific Amps and Volts. That's not the important part of the story unless you are installing a system (and then I suggest another source). 

The heart of the system is the Tesla Energy Gateway. This may also be referred to as Home Energy Gateway or Backup Gateway. In the above image, this is labeled "Switchboard" and that is a relatively good description. It directs the energy flows between multiple energy sources and multiple energy receivers. The energy sources are the solar PV system (left), Powerwalls (right), and the grid (top). The energy receivers are the home (bottom), Powerwalls, and the grid. 

The Energy Gateway is the conductor of the energy orchestra that powers your home.

Looking at this energy source and receiver list, you'll see that Powerwalls and the grid can be either an energy source or an energy receiver. This gives the gateway the ability to use them for either purpose depending on the moment's energy need and the system settings (much more on this later). The Energy Gateway is the conductor of this energy orchestra. It coordinates the various energy sources and receivers based on many factors including your preferences, the battery charge state, the cost of grid energy... We'll cover this more in the next section, Modes, below.

AC vs DC


Now that we know what 'AC battery' means, this leads to the discussion of AC vs DC within the system. When you have DC coming from solar panels and (eventually) DC going into batteries, it seems odd to convert it to AC (by the solar inverter) and then convert it back to DC by the Powerwall to store it in the batteries, then when the battery discharges convert it to AC again for the home to use.

Each of these conversions has a small loss, then why do so many conversions? Answer: Compatibility. Our homes run on AC (Tesla/Westinghouse did win the current war after all); so having AC as the standard for energy exchanges makes it simple. This allows the Powerwalls to work with grid power or any standard solar inverter. The loss from conversions is a small price to pay for broad compatibility. There have been battery systems that charge the batteries with DC directly from the solar panels and these are more efficient, but the array size, inverter, and batteries have to be well-matched and you still need monitoring and other electronics to avoid overcharging and other problems. AC systems, on the other hand, allow independence of the battery and PV array sizes, the solar inverter is matched to the solar panels while the inverter within the Powerwall is matched to the battery capacity of the Powerwall. This independence makes Powerwalls great for retrofits as well as new installs.

How It Works: Energy Flow 

Below is one view of the energy flow from Tesla's app. It shows a simplified view of the energy flow orchestration. It's not all that different from the image above except that it has solar on top (where it belongs). In the app, this flow display is animated and you can see what is sourcing the power and what is sinking the power in near real-time. I occasionally find myself staring at this screen, watching the energy bubbles move about, it can be hypnotic.


The above image is an example of a cloudy winter day. The solar panels are charging up the battery so they can discharge later in the day at peak time and the grid is powering our home. As the loads and solar availability change throughout the day, the lines are redrawn and the flows redirect. If you don't like how it's going, you can change modes in the app. Speaking of modes, there are several options in the app, let's cover that in the next section.

Here's a fun example. The solar panels are powering our home, feeding the grid, and charging the Powerwalls (a little). This was occurring at 9:30 AM on a winter morning.

Modes (Self-powered, Cost Savings...) 

Our primary Powerwall use case is time-shifting solar energy use from mid-peak times to peak times. This will reduce stress on the grid, while reducing our electricity bill. However, this is just one of the use cases that the Tesla app supports, let's go through all 3 (or 4) of them.  

1: Backup Only

This one is very straightforward. The batteries charge up to 100% and stay at 90% plus, ready to power your home during a power outage. If you have solar, that's used to charge up the batteries; otherwise, they'll charge from the grid. If the system detects that the state of charge of the cells in the pack are unbalanced, it may cycle the battery by discharging below 20% and then recharging. This should be a very rare event, but if you see it happening, now you know the reason. 

2: Self-Powered

The goal of this mode is to minimize grid power usage. Your home is powered with solar whenever possible. Surplus solar is used to charge the batteries. If (and only if) the batteries are full, then surplus solar is sent to the grid.

Similarly, when there is not enough solar to power the home, the batteries are discharged. If the batteries are fully discharged (down to an outage reserve level that you can set anywhere from 10% to 100%), only then does the system draw power from the grid.

The simple explanation for this mode is "use the grid only as a last resort."

3: Advanced

This is where things get interesting. Under Advanced, there are two options: Balanced and Cost Savings. Both of these modes consider the price of electricity from your utility and how the price changes throughout the day. This is called time-of-use (TOU). Many utilities have a time-of-use fee structure with prices that vary throughout the day as well as on weekends and holidays. Additionally, there may be seasonal considerations. Below is an example from my local utility, Portland General Electric.

Time of Use


For some utilities, TOU is all that they offer. Others have flat-rate or TOU fee schedules and you can select which program you'd like to be on. My utility defaults to a flat rate. Every kWh costs the same (with some usage tiers) no matter what time of day you consume it. However, they also offer a TOU plan that you can opt into. The rule of thumb is that if you can move half or more of your electricity use to off-peak, then the TOU plan will likely save you money. For us, we have two EVs that charge up overnight. Then we have the solar panels that reduce our daytime grid demand, so TOU was worth it. Now with the Powerwalls, we'll be able to take weekend and mid-day sunshine and feed that into the grid during peak hours. This will further increase the savings that time of use offers us. After we have a few months of bills, I'll post a Powerwall savings blog entry.  

Sunday's sunshine will power our home on Monday morning during peak price hours before the sun comes up.
As you can see in the footnotes of the image above, Saturday has no peak hours and all-day Sunday is considered off-peak, making this the prime time to charge the Powerwalls to 100%. 

For Portland General customers on TOU, some holidays are off-peak all day. Some holidays? Here's the list: New Year’s Day, Memorial Day, Independence Day, Labor Day, Thanksgiving, and Christmas. 

Let's look at a simple example of load shifting. 

The above graph is from the Tesla app. It shows that from 8AM till 4PM we were generating solar electricity. This was a cloudy January day, so we didn't make much and you can see there was a short break in the clouds around 2PM where production spiked. Without Powerwalls, this energy would have been used to run our home or been feed into the grid for net-metering. Instead, this all went into the Powerwall (green below the line is charging). Then at 5PM, after the sun had set, Peak time started. This is when electricity is at its highest cost of the day. So, instead of using grid power, the Powerwalls were discharged to power our home for 3 hours, eliminating our evening peak load from the grid.

I have a 50% reserve setup, so if solar production is low for a given day, the Powerwall will stop discharging (even during Peak) when it gets to 50%. This way we always have at least a 50% charge if there's an unexpected power outage. 

Let's look at another, more interesting example of load shifting.

You can see that we have two peak times. During the AM peak, the green above the line shows that our home was powered by the Powerwalls until the sun came up. When the peak ended, the Powerwalls went into recharge mode, as you can see from the green below the line. Around 3 PM the Powerwalls were full. Then we hit the PM peak time. From 5PM till 8PM our home was once again battery-powered. These are peak demand times and we are using zero energy from the grid. This saves us money and reduces grid peak demand.  

Setting TOU Hours

The app interface to set the TOU schedule (below) is pretty straightforward. You grab and slide to set peak and off-peak. Anytime leftover is considered shoulder. 


Now that we've gone through TOU meanings and setup, we can finally get to the two Advanced Modes that depend on TOU. 

3a: Advanced (Cost Savings)


This is the mode we use. The utility sets the prices highest when they have the most anticipated demand. So by trying to reduce our bill, we also reduce stress on the grid. Removing our peak load means that it is a little less likely that the utility will have to spin-up the peak load power generation. This is when they must use 'peakers' to keep the grid operational. Peakers are often the dirtiest sources of electricity on the grid. They can be diesel generators or quick-fire natural gas plants that run at much lower (less efficient) temperatures than their high-efficient high-temp fellows.

3b: Advanced (Balanced)


Balance sounds nice. Who doesn't want balance? This mode attempts to reduce peak energy use and provide more self-power than the Cost Savings mode. This mode uses Tesla's Energy Forecasting to estimate future production, if it determines that you are likely to generate enough to cover the next peak event, then it will allow the battery to continue to discharge down to your reserve or the calculated value (whichever is higher). This increases your self-powered score and probably won't cost you much if any. 

In my tests with this mode, I found it often discharging the battery during the evening in off-peak hours. However, I'd prefer that it save that energy for our morning peak hours. However, the Tesla app only allows you to set one peak time (not two like our utility uses in the winter). So, until the app allows for more configuration, the Powerwall system does not have all the information that it needs to best orchestrate the energy flows and I'm going to avoid this option for now.

Picking A Powerwall Mode:
Backup Only, Self-Powered, Cost Savings, or Balanced


In the above image, it is peak time and the system is in Cost Savings mode. This means the batteries are being used to power the house and, as you can see, the solar power is currently flowing into the grid to offset our prior grid usage. This often brings up the question, can you get paid for supplying energy to the grid, so I'll cover that in the next section, but now let's finish looking at considerations for picking the mode that's best depending on your needs.

For us, having Powerwalls as backup power is a nice bonus, but not our primary reason for having Powerwalls. We'll keep something like 30% to 60% in reserve for black-out protection, but we want the batteries to actively participate in our home energy system, so we won't be in Backup Mode. 


Self-powered is a good goal, but this mode does not comprehend the TOU rate variations and so is not the mode that we'll be using. If you are not on a TOU program, this might be a good choice.

Advanced: If you are on a TOU plan, this is the mode you likely want to use. Either of these (Cost Savings or Balanced) are good options and most of the time they will yield very similar results. The only difference might be some grid feed-in occurring in Cost Savings mode vs a similar number of kWh going directly to the house in Balanced Mode. The differences between these modes would be based primarily on the forecast by Tesla for your energy use and energy production.  

The only reason that I hesitate to use Balanced Mode is that in the winter, we have two peak times and the app currently only supports one peak time. So I don't want the battery to continue to drain in the evening after the peak time has passed. I would rather use that energy the next morning during the morning peak before the sun has come up (even if that means I need to move the peak around manually in the app occasionally or use smart home automation - more on that below). Maybe I'll try balanced in the summer when we only have one peak time and lots of sunshine. So our selection for the best mode is Cost Savings.

Can You Get Paid For Supplying Energy To The Grid?

Maybe. This is highly dependent on your local utility. There are about 200 major utilities and more than 3000 in total in just the US. I'm not going to cover each of these, but I will tell you what to look for on your utility's website. There are two general feed-in recognition schemes: One, Renewable Feed-in Tariffs and two (the far more common) Net Metering. With a feed-in tariff, you can actually get paid. With net metering, you can reduce your bill. Let's look at each of these a little more.

Renewable Feed-in Tariffs

These programs pay you when you send renewable energy to the grid. They can even pay you more than the market rate for energy. The idea is that for the utility to generate renewable energy, it would have had to spend millions on a renewable plant and even more for on-going staffing and maintenance. Rather than spending this money to build and run their own plant, that same money goes to encourage homeowners and business owners to install renewables and feed their surplus into the grid.

The only drawback to these programs is that they are limited and infrequently offered. There's a fixed budget for these programs and they tend to go quickly. The last time that I could find this offered from Portland General was 2013, so it's not likely that there will be another one offered around here anytime soon.

One aside (because that's what we do here). It's called a "Renewable Feed-in Tariff." When I see the word tariff, I think of a tax or an import duty. I think of it as something that I have to pay. Well in this case it's the utility that is paying and you are the one getting paid.

Net Metering 

If you are not among the lucky few that got into a feed-in tariff plan or VPP, net metering is your next best option. This is a relatively simple scheme. When you are using electricity your meter is "spinning" forward. With net metering, when you are feeding the grid, you are spinning the meter backward. You are then billed for the final reading on the meter (the net of spinning forward part of the time and backward part of the time). However, if the meter result is negative (meaning you feed in more than you used), you receive a zero kWh bill and this extra is carried forward to the next month. Feeding in more than you use is also referred to as "banking kilowatt-hours" because they are saved for later months (like winter) when you may not generate more than you use. 

This carry-forward or banking is nice so that summer months can build up credits to be used in the winter. Here, in Oregon, the net metering "year" starts in April. Starting the spring is the best way to make sure all the banked credits have a chance to be used. If you still have credits leftover when the year ends, these are donated to the utility's low-income program.

TOU can add an extra layer of complexity to this. Each TOU zone (peak, mid-peak, off-peak) has its own mini net metering within that zone. For each bill, any surplus within a given zone drops to the next zone down. Check with your utility to see how they handle this case.  

Virtual Power Plants (VPP)

VPP: One more way you might get paid for owning Powerwalls. Some utilities are implementing virtual power plants (VPP). If you have Powerwalls and you join a VPP, the utility has the ability to charge/discharge your battery as the grid needs fluctuate. To compensate you for the extra wear and tear on your equipment, the utility will pay you or provide you the Powerwall at a discount (or even free). Participation payments may be a flat monthly rate (like PGE Smart Battery Program) or by kWh.

How Powerwalls Made Our Solar Worth 75% More

First, I have to say thanks for reading this far (or skipping to here, that's okay too). This has been a long one. Now that we've covered TOU and time-shifting with the Powerwalls, we can look at how this impacts our electricity bill. 

Here are our TOU rates: 
TOU Zone     Price per kWh
Peak 12.38¢
Mid-peak 7.051¢
Off-peak 4.128¢

Most of our solar production occurs during Mid-peak. That means that each solar kWh that we generate was offsetting 7¢ mid-peak energy from the utility. However, now, instead of using that solar energy immediately when it is generated, it gets stored in the Powerwall. Then it gets used during peak time. That makes our solar is worth 12.4¢ per kWh instead of 7¢. That's 75% more. 

Time-shifting with Powerwalls made our solar panels worth 75% more.
This time-shifting will mean that our peak usage will be zero on days with even a moderate amount of sunshine. This could make TOU an option for homes where it was otherwise not a good choice. 

Here Sunday is off-peak all day. This allows us to fully charge the battery for use throughout the rest of the week. So on Monday, during the morning peak, we've using energy that would have been offsetting 4¢, to offset 12¢ power. In that case, the Powerwalls are tripling the value of our solar energy. 

The extra cost savings is nice. It won't pay for the Powerwalls by any means, but cost savings was not the reason that we purchased these (it's just a nice side benefit). 

Powerwalls: Do They Have To Be Inside?

Powerwalls can be installed inside or outside, but there are considerations. Lithium batteries have a preferred operating temperature range. Luckily, Tesla is well aware of this from their other battery-powered products (cars) and Powerwalls have a thermal management system built-in. They can operate in temperatures from -4°F to 122°F. However, at extreme temperatures, the Powerwall may limit charge or discharge rate to improve its lifespan. If you are in an area that is often outside of the 32°F to 86°F range, Tesla recommends that Powerwalls are installed indoors. In extreme temperatures, the thermal management system runs to maintain the batteries, this effectively reduces the energy-in to energy-out efficiency of the system.

Here are some other considerations that Tesla recommends: For best performance, avoid installing Powerwall in locations exposed to direct sunlight. Humidity and rain do not pose a risk, Powerwall should not be installed in locations subject to flooding or near water sources such as downspouts, faucets, or sprinkler systems. In order to maintain proper ventilation, Powerwall should be kept clear of debris such as leaves, dense brush, and areas that accumulate snow.

How Can Powerwalls Be Mounted?

When you have multiple Powerwalls they can be mounted side-by-side on a wall or floor or stacked front-to-back on the floor.

4 Powerwalls Mounted Side-by-Side via Eric Schorvitz

Side-by-Side Mounting

When mounted side-by-side, each Powerwall must have enough clearance on the sides for electrical connections and proper ventilation. As you can see in Eric's install above, the Powerwalls have space between them. 

4 Powerwalls Mounted 2x2
Two Front-to-Back and Side-by-Side
via Revision Energy 

Front-to-Back Mounting

When stacked front-to-back, up to three Powerwalls can be grouped together. For this stacked method, the Powerwalls are floor-mounted or concrete pad mounted and anchored to the wall. Stacks cannot be hung on the wall. The stacked Powerwalls are joined together with special hardware. This method may use fewer conduits in some installations.

How Loud Are They?

Noise production: up to 40 dBA (quieter than most refrigerators)

Powerwalls do make some noise. They have fans and pumps that are used as part of the internal temperature control system. They are not that loud, but you should consider this when you are selecting the mounting location. You would not want Powerwalls mounted near a bedroom window, for example. 

How Big Are Powerwall 2s? 

L x W x D
45.3" x 29.6" x 5.75"
1150 mm x 753 mm x 147 mm

How Much Do They Weigh? 

251.3 lbs / 114 kg (current) 

When initially introduced the weight was 269 lbs / 122 kg.

What Color Are They?

There are two color options: white or red. White ones are the standard units. Red ones are the signature units and supposedly only available via the referral program. However, I have heard of cases where contractors have had several red units available. Additionally, many people that earned a Powerwall via the referral program were not in a position to install it, so they occasionally appear on eBay and the like. 

Are Signature Powerwalls Actually Signed? 

Powerwalls that were earned via the referral program and delivered in 2018 or earlier were signed by Elon Musk, JB Straubel, & Franz von Holzhausen. However, now, despite the name, the signature units currently being delivered are no longer actually signed 😢

Powerwall 1 vs Powerall 2

The Powerwall 1 was released in 2015. Tesla quickly followed this with, the current version, Powerwall 2. This second version made several improvements. It has more than twice the storage capacity packed into a smaller space and it has triple the power output over Powerwall 1. Powerwall 2 has a more robust cell chemistry and, unlike its predecessor, uses the same cell type for both systems intended for backup only purposes as well as for daily use time-shifting systems. 

The only thing Powerwall 1 had that might be considered better than 2 is a stylish curved cover, reminiscent of the car. It looked really cool but didn't allow the units to be stacked. 

What Battery Chemistry Does Powerwall 2 Use? 
Or: Does the Powerwall Use the Same Batteries as Tesla's Cars?

Tesla uses a variety of battery cell chemistries including Nickel Manganese Cobalt (NMC), Nickel Cobalt Aluminum (NCA), and Lithium Iron Phosphate (LiFePO 4 battery) aka LFP battery (Lithium Ferrophosphate).

Tesla's vehicles are far more demanding on batteries than are Powerwalls. With Powerwall, they don't have to accelerate from zero to 60 in 2.3 seconds. They don't have to absorb massive regen one moment and then discharge the next. The flow of energy into and out of Powerwalls is controlled and limited. Additionally, Powerwalls also don't have to be carried around, so the energy to weight ratio (aka gravimetric energy density) is far less important than it is for a vehicle battery pack.

All this is to say that any of the chemistries that would work in a car, would easily work in a Powerwall. LFP would likely be the best candidate, if for no other reason than they tend to be the cheapest. LFP is also more tolerant to sitting at a high state of charge without impacting the lifespan of the battery. 

While trying to find out which cell chemistry is used in Powerwall 2 packs, I found conflicting information. I could not find an official statement from Tesla naming the specific chemistry. Some sites said that they were using NMC (Nickel Manganese Cobalt) cells and other sites said they were using LFP (Lithium Ferrophosphate). It's possible that both are correct and that Tesla has been utilizing each cell chemistry at various times. They certainly would have battery management systems available for each. However, LFP generally does not have as high of a peak power output as NMC. The 7kW peak power output (~50% C rate) is well within LFP's capability. So, it could be either, but more sources indicated that NMC was Tesla's chemistry of choice in Powerwalls. If Tesla used NMC in some and LFP in others, there would be a weight difference and I think they would need to list the two weight options, which I have not seen, so I assume that they are using NMC and only NMC (for now). 

Since we're talking about cell chemistries, it's important to discuss Cobalt. 
Cobalt is a conflict mineral and it's expensive. These two factors are compelling many cell manufacturers, including Tesla, to develop methods to reduce or eliminate Cobalt from their cells. LFP, for example, is Cobalt-free and the energy density has been increasing with each year as battery tech continues to advance. In 2020, CATL announced a cobalt-free battery for use in EVs. These would not be for 300 mile+ range vehicles, but these are great for more affordable EVs and perfect for Powerwalls.

Can I Buy Powerwalls for my Existing Solar? 

On April 24th, 2021 Tesla updated their policy to sell Solar and Powerwall as a bundled package and only as a bundled package. This was a big change from their previous policy. There was a large demand from people with existing solar PV systems to add Powerwalls. After the power outages that much of the US experienced in February of this year, many people (with or without solar) ordered Powerwalls.

This demand put Tesla in a pickle, they had customers installing solar (panels or glass roof) that wanted Powerwalls as well. They were supply-constrained and made the choice to favor their solar customers, rather than other potential customers. This is the most effective use of their limited supply. The Tesla crew is already there installing the solar system, rather than scheduling a job just for the Powerwalls. I suspect, as their supply increases, Powerwall sales may open up again, but I wouldn't count on it since batteries will be in constraint for several years as Tesla continues to sell more vehicles.  

There are some 3rd party installers that have a small supply of Powerwalls, if you are lucky enough to find one of them, you may be able to have Powerwalls installed on an existing system.  

Other Fun Stuff (Storm Watch and EV Charging)

Storm Watch


Storm Watch is a great feature of Tesla Powerwalls. Since Powerwalls are internet-connected devices, they will receive a signal when an outage is likely in your area, then the Powerwalls will top up to be fully ready to power your home if there's a blackout in your area. This is the only time (if you have solar) that Powerwalls are allowed to recharge from grid energy. 

The cool thing about this feature is that it is not just used for storms. Perhaps this mode should be called "Disaster Watch" since storms are just one of the disasters that cause them to charge up. Tesla has access to alert forecasts from the National Weather Service; these alerts cover severe winter weather, flooding, thunderstorms, tornados, hurricanes, fires, tsunamis, drought, general emergency alerts... This means, even if you miss the news, your Powerwall is watching out for you (if you enable this feature). 

EV Charging


Tesla's cars have big batteries and long-range. The two Tesla EVs in our garage are the equivalent to about 12 Powerwalls. That means, if they were to start charging during a power outage, the cars could quickly drain our 3 Powerwalls, leaving us with no energy for our home during an outage. Knowing that Tesla Powerwall owners are likely to be Tesla vehicle owners, Tesla thought of this situation and gave you a way to manage it as you'd like.

The great thing about having the cars and Powerwalls in the same connected ecosystem is that they can work together. If there's a power outage, you can control whether or not the car will charge based on how charged up the Powerwalls are. Additionally, when the car is charging from the Powerwall, the power level that the car requests is adjusted to allow for load sharing with the house. You would not want the Powerwall to shut down because the load had exceeded the maximum that it can supply (5kW continuous, 7kW bursts per Powerwall).

10 Powerwalls (and an EV charging station) via Jason Bloomberg on TMC

The "Vehicle Charging During Power Outage" setting allows the car to charge when the Powerwalls are near full. This has an advantage that might not be obvious at first glance. If the Powerwalls are approaching full, charging the electric cars makes room in the Powerwall for more solar to be stored and, if we need to leave, our cars will be charged up.

Additionally, if we really needed to, we could power some of our needs from our cars with an inverter plugged into the 12V outlet.

Solar Gateway 

There's supporting hardware that comes with your Powerwall. One of these extra items is a data gateway called "Solar Gateway". This is data gateway connects your Powerwall system to the internet. This is how your Tesla app connects to your Powerwall system. This allows you to set the Powerwall mode and see the current state. The data gateway also collects all the energy telemetry streamed from your Home Energy Gateway and sends it to Tesla's servers. From there, your Tesla app can access that data in beautiful multicolor graphs.

How Many Powerwalls Do I Need? 


There are at least a couple of ways that you could determine how many Powerwalls you should get. The first, and simpler method, is (assuming you have solar) to divide the size of your PV system in kW by 5 and round up. For example, if you have a 6kW system, you'll need 2 Powerwalls; if you have a 14kW PV system, you'll need 3 Powerwalls. This method ensures that your Powerwalls will be able to absorb all the electrons your PV system excites during peak output.

The second method is a little more complicated. This method asks the question, how long do you want the Powerwalls to last when the grid is down. To answer this, the first question is do you want to back up your whole house or just the essentials? This will greatly impact the number of Powerwalls that you need. As you can see in the image below, there are options. You can back up everything or just your refrigerators and furnace. Running your entire home will obviously require more Powerwalls than just running the essentials. If you want to keep an AC unit running for hours, you'll likely need 3+ units. If you have a small home and/or consistent solar production, one Powerwall might be enough. Tesla has a design guide that will help you determine how many you should have. 

 

The next question is "do you have solar?" With solar panels, you have energy coming into the system, even during an outage. That helps keep the lights on. However, here in northern Oregon, our wintertime solar production is generally low. We are most likely to have a power outage during a snow or rain and wind storm, this is also when solar production would be at its lowest. So, we'll need a few more kWhs of storage for the winter months.

Understand Your Energy Use

To determine how many Powerwalls you need, you'll need to understand a little bit about your energy usage. 

Seasonal Considerations

Take a look at your electric bill and see how many kilowatt-hours you use on a typical day. If possible, check your electricity bills from different seasons. Do you have an AC unit that runs full blast all summer, do you have electric heating that runs all winter? Take the worst one and then determine how many days of backup energy you'd like to have. For us, our worst grid energy use month is January because that's when solar production is at its lowest. We run the AC frequently in July through September, but the solar production during this time more than compensates for this extra energy use.

Taking our worst month (Jan) we use about 50kWh per day. Our 3 Powerwalls only have ~40kWh, so these 3 would last less than a day if we had a blackout, no solar production, and continued to use electricity at our normal rate. However, we can relatively easily cut our daily energy use down to ~15 kWh per day for a short duration. This would allow us to stretch the Powerwall out for nearly 3 days. We'd likely have some solar production over a 3 day period too, stretching our blackout tolerance period even further. 

We were able to test these assumptions in February when we (and much of the US) lost power temporarily due to an arctic blast. 

How To Stretch The Powerwall Duration

If you want to make your Powerwall last as long as possible during a power outage, you need to do more than just turn things off. Many devices have standby energy draws even when they are turned off, this is called a Vampire Draw. To avoid these vampires, you can unplug the device or, even better, turn off the circuit breaker they are on. Printers, computers, TV, and many appliances continue to draw power even if they appear to be off.  

Try a dry-run: If possible, it might be nice to spend some time at your breaker box and get to know which items are on which circuits. Make a list of essentials and a list of the circuits that you can turn off during an outage without having the food in your frig spoil or your home temperature becoming unbearable. If you can do this dry run, when you are in 'essentials only' mode, go to your meter and see what your energy usage looks like. Make sure to monitor it for a few minutes since a frig compressor or the like might cycle on or off after a minute or two. 

One Powerwall?

Even just a single Powerwall is very useful. If you have solar, the Powerwall allows the solar to stay operational during an outage. If you have a gas furnace, a single Powerwall allows the fans to run and for the furnace to heat your home. It can back up your refrigerator (especially an energy-efficient one) and keep your food from going bad. However, a single Powerwall is only 13.5 kWh of energy. That's just over a dollar's worth of electricity here. You can't expect it to run your home for days. 

With just one Powerwall, the system is limited to 5 kW of sustained output (with spikes of 7 kW allowed for up to 10 seconds). This means that you'll likely have to add an inrush current limiter or "slow start" unit to your air conditioner or any water pumps. During the first few seconds of their start-up, AC units and other large motors draw a significant amount of power. This can exceed the power that a single Powerwall can supply, but a slow start unit can allow the motor to spread that load out allow it to be started without exceeding what a single Powerwall can provide.

Although even just a single Powerwall is very useful, it has a rather limited amount of storage, so I would only recommend one Powerwall if you have a small energy-efficient home or if that's all you can afford. If you're considering more than one Powerwall, check out the next section. 

More Than One Powerwall?

You can have up to 10 Powerwalls in a standard residential installation. Additional equipment may be required for more than 6 units. Each Powerwall adds another 13.5 kWh of usable energy and it adds another 5 kW of power to the sustained output. This additional power output likely means that with 3 plus units you won't need a slow start device on AC units and the additional energy means that you'll be able to keep the lights on longer. 

We opted for three Powerwalls. This is a sweet spot for functionality and cost, IMHO. Although, now that I have them installed, I think I'd order 5 or 6 if I were ordering it now. Just as buying an EV, you never regret having more capacity. With 5 or 6 Powerwalls, I could leave the equivalent of 3 fully charged and then have the other 2 or in play for daily time-shifting of grid demand energy use.  

How Long Will Powerwalls Power My House?

I don't know, I've never been to your house☺But seriously, there are many considerations. What's your home energy use, do you have solar, what's the production, will the Powerwalls need to heat or cool themselves?...

The analysis above for "How Many Powerwalls Do I Need?" walks you through how to determine this.

Is There Energy Loss? or What's the Round Trip Efficiency? 

All systems have some energy loss. As we discussed in the AC/DC section above, the energy that flows in and out of the Powerwall has to be converted. These conversions have some loss. The round trip efficiency is 90%. 

The Powerwalls additionally have to maintain their internal temperature control, this too uses energy in extreme weather conditions (especially in outdoor installations). 

Where Can I Order Powerwalls?

From Tesla! Tesla can install them or work with a certified contractor to have them installed. Many local solar installers also can install energy storage systems from Tesla or others. 

How long is a Tesla Powerwall lifespan?

Tesla guarantees that each Powerwall will retain 80% of its capacity over 10 years. That means, after 10 years, you can expect at least 10.8 kWh of storage per unit. 

Power and Energy Explained (kWh vs kW)

There are two important items in the specs that you should understand. Energy and Power. 

Energy is the capacity of the unit. Using a fluid analogy, think of this as the volume (liters, gallons) that it can hold. Energy is measured in kilowatt-hours (kWs). 

Power is the rate at which energy is moved into or out of the unit. Continuing the fluid analogy, think of this as the flow rate that the bucket is being drained (or filled). Power is measured in kilowatts (kW). 

If you had a full 1 kWh battery and you were able to drain it at a consistent rate of 1 kW, it would take 1 hour to drain the battery completely. 

Power and Energy Specifications

Each Powerwall 2 has a usable capacity of 13.5 kWh of capacity. For home use, you can gang up to 10 of them together for 135 kWh. 

Powerwall 2 has a sustained recharge/discharge rate of 5kW and a peak rate of 7kW that can be used for up to 10 seconds. This peak rate is often needed when starting an electric motor such as an AC unit or heat pump. Just as with the energy capacity, this power level is also additive. With 10 units you'd be able to support a sustained 50kW load with spikes up to 70kW.

UPDATE (April 21st, 2021): Elon Musk tweeted today that based on data that Tesla has collected, the Power rating of Powerwall 2 will be increased by up to 50% in ambient temperatures. A firmware update will be coming to all Powerwall 2s with these new specifications and we'll know more soon. This is the great thing about having an internet-connected system.

How long does it take to charge a Tesla Powerwall?

Powerwalls have 13.5 kWhs of storage and they can charge (or discharge) at a rate of 5kW. That means they can be charged from empty to full in about 3 hours assuming full power is provided. If they are being charged from solar, it depends on the day's weather and the capacity of your PV system. 

When Storm Mode is activated, the Powerwalls charge from the grid. When our system charged up during the Valentine's Day outage, our 3 Powerwalls charged at 10 kW. That's only 2/3rds of the sustained maximum. At that rate, it would take just over 4 hours to charge up to full. 

Can I use a Tesla Powerwall to go off-grid?

The short answer is: yes, you can. The long answer is: It depends. Some states require you to be grid-connected if electric service is available in your area. Even if you have enough solar and storage, to be off-grid, these states might require you to attach. 

Another consideration is cost. Depending on your energy needs, you may need a significant number of Powerwalls. Staying connected to the grid allows you to use the grid effectively as additional energy storage via net metering or as a supplemental supply during low solar production months. 

Can I use a Tesla Powerwall without solar?

Yes, you can!* Powerwalls can be used without solar. They can be used either for backup or for timeshifting energy use. Without solar, you'd need significantly more kWh (more Powerwalls) to have a significant backup duration. 

* If allowed by local state/regional laws. 

Currently, Tesla is only selling Powerwall 2s when they are bundled with solar. Some authorized independent contractors may still have Powerwalls in stock, so it is possible to have them installed even if you don't have solar. By the time you are reading this, Tesla may have relaxed their policy and may allow sales without solar, so it's best to check on that directly. 

Can I use a Powerwall with a Generator?

Yes, you can have a backup for your backup.
 
Powerwall 2 can be added to a system with a backup generator connected with an external Automatic Transfer Switch (ATS) or a Manual Transfer Switch (MTS). If you have an MTS, you must (as the name implies) manually flip the switch to power your home from the generator. Note that Powerwalls should not be charged from a generator. 

In an outage, Powerwall responds immediately and provides backup power before the generator can detect the outage. The generator should be turned on only after the Powerwall has a low charge, or if loads exceed Powerwall's maximum output.

When grid power returns, the generator should be turned off and Powerwall can resume normal operation (charging from solar or the grid). 

Can I Access My Powerwalls If My Internet Is Down?

Yes, you can. You don't have as much control as you do with the app, but you can access the Tesla Energy Gateway (TEG) via your home intranet. Just follow these steps to connect the TEG to your local WiFi and you can access it locally to see what's going on. 

Local Network Access Screen


Can I use a Powerwall with Residential Wind or Hydro?

No. 

As I write this, Tesla's FAQ says, "Powerwall does not currently work with existing battery systems or other (non-solar) renewable energy sources, such as wind or hydro." 

I assume that Tesla is not supporting this because they are smaller markets than solar. As AC-connected batteries, as long as the power rating is observed, the system should have broad compatibility; but if it's not supported by Tesla, you could void your warranty if you use it this way.

During an outage, Powerwall 2 does some smart things with the electrical frequency to ensure that solar production does not exceed the battery's storage capacity. If your wind or hydro inverter didn't respond to these frequency changes in the same way that solar inverters respond, this could create a hazardous situation, so I would not recommend it unless Tesla announces explicit support for specific inverters at some future date.   

Will There Be a Tesla Powerwall 3?

Tesla has not announced any plans for a Powerwall 3 AFAIK. Battery technology is advancing quickly, and Tesla iterates quickly so I wouldn't be surprised if a new version were announced. Stationary storage is not as demanding, as automotive so this product could have a longer revision lifecycle.

Powerwall+

I have been working on this article for days, and now, just hours before this was to be published, there's a leak about a "Powerwall+". To be clear, this is just a leak/rumor and little is known about it as I write this, so take a full grain of salt with this section. Here's the leaked document: 
As you may know, Tesla recently started making their own inverters and they make the energy gateway. Additionally, Tesla recently announced that all solar installations would include at least one Powerwall. One of the stated reasons was that this would ease installation. Taking all of this into account, this leak makes sense. Rather than installing a separate Energy Gateway and inverter, combine them into one unit (which they can do now since they make both) and simplify the installation. 

According to the leaked spec sheet above, there is also a soft start (aka inrush current limiter) built in. These are used to prevent motors (such as those in pumps or air conditioners) from drawing too much current too quickly on start-up and damaging the batteries. This means that Tesla would not have to go install these individually on each pond pump, sump pump, and air conditioner at the site. This will further speed up installation. 

The above side-by-side shows how this simplifies things: fewer components, less conduit... Although, this side-by-side is not exactly a fair comparison since the old install has a separate subpanel. If you only want to backup part of your home, you'll likely need that in the new Powerwall+ installations too. 

It is possible that this new arrangement might also allow the Powerwall to charge directly from DC from the solar panels, but that is just conjecture at this time and we'll have to wait for the official details about Powerwall+ from Tesla. It's exciting to see Tesla continue to innovate (assuming this leak turns out to be true).

Ordering & Installation

When ordering, you have to decide how many Powerwalls you want. Tesla's site helps you to figure this out. On the site, you select full home backup or partial backup. You let them know if you have a solar PV system and, if so, the zip code for a sola production estimate. See the How Many Powerwalls Do I Need? section above for pros and cons to having from 1 to 10 Powerwalls. You can order  Powerwalls and/or solar from here.

Our Ordering & Installation

We ordered our Powerwalls on December 8th, 2019. 

Our installation happened on the last day of 2020. Getting it installed at the end of the year is nice in that it reduces the amount of time from payment to receiving our related tax incentive (more on tax incentives in the next section), but it was stressful having it come down to the last day of the year when it was unclear if the tax incentive was going to be reduced or not in 2021.

The process was a little complicated by a couple factors: one, we have two solar PV systems on our home; two, the fact that we have a free Powerwall through the referral program (great to get one free, but it bumped us out of the normal process).

They came out the day before the planned install day to make a plan (where to hang them, where to put the new circuit breaker and Energy Gateway, how to get the wiring to the existing service panel...).

The next day they arrived before 9AM and worked all day. Just after 5PM the install was done. They confirm the functionality with a quick power outage simulation and that I could see the system in the app.

Powerwall Cost & Tax Incentives

Tesla's price for Powerwalls has increased a couple of times as their popularity (order backlog) increased.

Cost

Here's the current price as of March 2021: 
  • Base Unit Cost: $7,500
  • Additional Required Hardware: $1,000
  • Installation: $3,500
  • Total Costs: $12,000
These prices do change periodically, so do check the latest price on Tesla's site. In January of 2021, Tesla increased the price per Powerwall from $7000 to $7500. This was only a few months after increasing the price by $500 in October of 2020.

More recently, due to a significant increase in demand after the massive Texas outage, Tesla has temporarily restricted sales to solar installations only. It is too bad that they are supply-constrained. However, given this constraint, it makes sense to prioritize solar installations. Powerwalls can be used without solar, but 'with solar' is where they really shine and they would not want to delay a solar installation because Powerwalls were not available.  

Tax Incentives

Depending on where you live, there could be state, federal, and/or utility incentives that apply to Powerwalls. As I write this, there are many discussions about new green initiatives happening in DC, so there may be new, more generous, incentives coming soon. Some of the solar incentives also apply to energy storage systems like Powerwall when they are installed as part of the solar PV system so make sure to look in the solar incentives for energy storage incentives too. Here are a few links to check out to see if the incentives could apply to you.


The federal incentive is up to 26% of the cost. The Oregon incentive is a little more complicated. Here are the residential rules: 
Rebates may cover up to 40% of the net cost installed for a customer that is not considered low- or moderate-income. Up to 60% of net cost for a low- or moderate-income customer may be covered. 
For residential projects, the maximum rebate is $5,000 for a solar electric system and $2,500 for an energy storage system.
Additionally, your local utility may have incentives too. Currently, my local utility, Portland General, has two incentive programs. The first only applies to homes within their "Smart Grid Test Bed." This incentive is up to $3000. The second incentive they have is income-based and part of the "Solar Within Reach" program. This incentive is up to $5000. You can find out more about these programs here
 
So, if you're in Oregon, and qualify, up to $2,500 could be cover by the state's energy storage incentive. Let's see how these would apply to the $12,000 single Powerwall example from the cost section. 
  • Initial Cost: $12,000
  • Federal Incentive: $3120
  • Oregon Incentive: $2500
  • Final Cost: $6380
So the Oregon state and US federal incentives, in this example, nearly cut the cost in half. Subtract another $3000 or $5000 if you are qualified for the utility incentives and you can have that $12,000 battery for as little as $3380 or $1380! 

Home Automation

If you love the tech and you have Powerwalls, you might want to add them to your home automation. One of the cool things about having a Tesla product is that there's a community that's passionate about these products and making cool toys and accessories for them.

Here are a few home automation options to enhance your Powerwall ownership: 

Tesla's app has relatively good control options for the Powerwalls, but it is missing a few things (see suggestions in the next section). If you'd rather now wait around for app updates, you can control the system yourself. You can add custom schedules for changing modes (Backup-Only, Self-Powered, Advanced Balanced, or Advanced Cost Savings). You can also adjust the reserve level throughout the day as you see fit. One final cool thing you can do with this is to shut off other smart devices in your home if the Powerwall detects a power outage.

You can query the status of the Powerwall and write code or scripts to respond to changes in the Powerwall or the grid. You can monitor things including State-of-charge, current load, frequency, solar power level, and more.

Collect, analyze, and display data from your Powerwall in a dashboard view. You can track your energy costs and savings and watch your Powerwall state-of-charge throughout the day. 

Use a Rasberry Pi to control programable LED strips based on the status of your solar and Powerwalls. Have a bar of green LEDs to show your Powerwall charge/discharge power level, a yellow bar to show your solar production, a blue bar to show your home load, white to show how much you are feeding to/from the grid. How you configure it is up to you!

If you've found others (or made your own), leave a link in the comments.
 

App Improvement Suggestions

The Tesla app is great. I occasionally find myself watching the energy flow like a high tech lava lamp. The time-of-use configuration is intuitive and simple to use with easy sliders and a nice visual indicator along with text indications. That said, there's always room for improvement. 

I looked at the app update history and the trend is a new release of energy features every two months or so. That's great, it means that the app is improving and there's a good chance that some of the limitations that I'm seeing now might be addressed in a future release. Here are the things that I'd like to see. 
  • Automatic TOU configuration 
    I'd like the app to be able to gather time-of-use information from my utility. I know there are thousands of utilities and this would be very impractical if every utility published this data in unique ways, but there are a few standards that some of them support. These are used by some internet of things devices for energy monitoring. This would allow the Tesla system to automatically update for seasonal changes, weekends, holidays... without user intervention. 
  • More TOU options (1/3) - Multiple Peak Times
    The above is the holy grail; it gets the info directly from the utility daily and it knows-all. Short of this, I'd like a little more configurability in the Advanced mode. Specifically, our utility has morning and evening Peak Rate times during the winter. The app needs support for this. 
  • More TOU options (2/3) - Saturday vs Sunday
    The app has one setting for "weekend." However, my local utility (and I assume many others) has a different price schedule for Saturday than it has for Sunday. Neither have peak hours, but most of Saturday is a mid-peak (or "shoulder" in Tesla's language), whereas all of Sunday is off-peak.
  • More TOU options (3/3) - Holidays 
    The app has no concept of a holiday. My utility, however, has several holidays that are off-peak all day. Since I have no way to tell the app this directly, it will not treat them as off-peak. This means that the Powerwall would start discharging at a time that it thinks is a peak time, rather than saving those kWhs for the next day. 
  • Powerflow: As I mentioned above, the power flow screen is hypnotic, I love it. However, it is missing one vital thing, the battery charge level. I find that I'm flipping back to the gateway screen to see this. The simple answer is to add the charge % (SOC) after the word 'Powerwall' at the bottom of the screen.
  • Battery SOC Graph: The energy flow graph shows when the battery is charging or discharging. This is great but much like the Powerflow screen, it would be nice to have battery state-of-charge information too. Specifically, I'd like to see how often the pack is hitting 100% full in a day. Based on this, I might adjust my reserves and more or less of the battery "in-play." 

Fixed schedules vs real-time demand 

Currently, the TOU systems that electrical utilities use are based on a fixed time schedule. This is not an accurate picture of the grid's state at any moment in time. My local utility has a "Rush Hour" program where they can send a signal to the smart thermostats of participating customers to time-shift their AC use. Participating customers are paid for their participation and they tend to have the AC come on sooner to pre-cool the home before the anticipated Rush Hour. This is not on a fixed schedule; instead, it's based on the weather forecast for the day. This is not real-time, but at least it's "same day." 

Powerwall could take this to the next level and allow the utility to change the home's grid load within seconds. Virtual power plants that gang groups of homes with Powerwalls under some level of control by a central utility currently exists in Hawaii, Orange County, Santa Barbara, Redwood Coast, and (the big 50,000 homes with solar PV and Powerwalls) across South Australia.

Will This Impact My Property Value, Taxes, or Insurance?

You, generally, have to pull permits for a project like this. That means the county or local government is aware of this upgrade project, so it could impact your property assessment.

As for insurance, you'll want to check to make sure that the Powerwalls are covered by your homeowner's insurance.

Is It Worth It to Buy Powerwalls?

That was a lot of information, but, in the end, it all comes down to 'is it worth it?'  For me, the answer is a solid Yes. I love the fact that our lights and furnace will stay on during a blackout. I love the tech. I love that we can utilize more of our solar directly and when we want it. 

If you want battery backup for blackout prevention, Yes. 
If you want to improve your energy independence, Yes. 
If you want to reduce your peak demand footprint, Yes.
If you want to reduce your carbon footprint, Yes.
If you want integration of your car and your home energy storage system, Yes. 
If you want to save money, Maybe. 

Powerwalls are game-changers for homeowners with solar. You have blackout protection, your solar continues to work during a power outage, and you can time-shift your solar. 

If you want Powerwalls, click this link to use my referral code.

Alternatives to the Tesla Powerwall

Tesla Powerwalls are not the only energy storage option available. LG Chem, Sonnen, and Powervault all offer home battery products with a variety of capacities and price ranges. If you're just looking for energy storage, they're worth consideration.  

If you own a Tesla vehicle, these alternatives won't integrate with your car to coordinate vehicle charging or share an app, so you'd be giving up this Tesla ecosystem integration. 

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Disclosures: 
This article may include Amazon Associates links.
I'm Long Tesla